Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:47:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

56
0x56a7…2bcb
crypto · 1398 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$322 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$322 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$322
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1191 / 207
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1398 / 1398
History coverage26d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day75.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 0 History 1398 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$861
7 days−$591
14 days−$579
30 days−$322
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 97¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$225
other 11% −$98
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 698 -9.8% -18.3% 78% 6% -20.7%
≤30d 1398 -3.7% -12.8% 85% 6% -11.0%
≤90d 1398 -3.7% -12.8% 85% 6% -11.0%
all 1398 -3.7% -12.8% 85% 6% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover75.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 6% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 4% -19.6%
15% -28.8% 3% -27.3%
20% -35.8% 3% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records