trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 25% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +4.0% | -5.9% | 43% | 7% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +4.0% | -5.9% | 43% | 7% | -9.8% |
| all | 30 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 43% | 3% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 3% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 3% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 3% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 3% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 19 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $57 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $77 | −$3 | -4% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 02 | $3 | $0 | +5% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 02 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 01 | $44 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $52 | −$2 | -3% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 29 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 28 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 28 | $77 | +$1 | +2% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 27 | $2 | +$1 | +55% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 25 | $46 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 13 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Meta buy TikTok? | Jun 27 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in his first 100 days? | May 03 | $2 | −$1 | -26% |
| Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Minnesota Vikings? | Apr 26 | $15 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%? | Apr 25 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian electio | Apr 25 | $16 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will the Colts draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft? | Apr 20 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? | Apr 19 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 18 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 17 | $3 | −$1 | -36% |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July? | Apr 17 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? | Apr 16 | $13 | $0 | +0% |