Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:07:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

56
0x56bd…e58d
sports · 631 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$6,032 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,992 · open +$36
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$937
Realized+$5,992
Unrealized+$36
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses352 / 271
Whale WR (big bets)66%
Est. fees paid−$1,809
Open positions7
Markets (closed)623 / 631
History coverage92d
Avg bet$468
Trades / day34.1
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 7 History 623 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$88
7 days+$95
14 days+$1,084
30 days+$1,034
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $336 $383 +$47 (+14%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 46¢ 39¢ $230 $195 −$35 (-15%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 23¢ 36¢ $115 $178 +$62 (+54%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 60¢ 49¢ $179 $147 −$32 (-18%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 13¢ 10¢ $20 $15 −$5 (-25%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $12 $12 −$1 (-4%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 24¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 37¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 21¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MIBR 27¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox 43¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner NRG 9¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 30¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Vitality 47¢ 0¢ $356 $0 −$356 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5 Under 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 21¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 49¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A paiN 38¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays Miami Marlins 42¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster 60¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 9¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs BNK FEARX 17¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $15 +$88 +596%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $14 −$1 -5%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $48 +$58 +121%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $31 −$13 -42%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $23 −$23 -97%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $37 −$18 -49%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $61 −$12 -20%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $13 −$12 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $17 −$16 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$12 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $44 −$44 -99%
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $497 +$14 +3%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $104 +$46 +45%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $75 +$16 +21%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $30 +$10 +34%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $29 +$10 +34%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $27 −$26 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $20 +$4 +21%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $23 +$3 +15%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $19 −$19 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $18 +$35 +194%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $68 +$33 +48%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $61 +$6 +9%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $106 −$45 -42%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $114 +$22 +19%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) Jun 08 $24 +$27 +109%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $36 −$36 -99%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $149 +$24 +16%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $37 −$37 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $32 −$32 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $16 +$8 +53%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 06 $14 +$16 +114%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $24 +$16 +70%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $20 +$10 +49%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 06 $150 +$4 +3%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $15 +$15 +104%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $8 −$8 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $30 −$9 -29%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $51 +$40 +79%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 04 $54 +$3 +5%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $20 +$10 +52%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $21 +$19 +90%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 03 $3,839 +$909 +24%
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 03 $21 −$21 -99%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 03 $13 −$12 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $12 +$8 +65%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $32 −$32 -99%
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) Jun 01 $29 −$29 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 01 $22 −$22 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% +$1,725
other 17% +$2,563
world 1% +$25
finance 0% +$1,627
culture 0% +$25
economics 0% +$1
politics 0% +$61
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $9 1h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 12¢ $13 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 45¢ $13 1h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $14 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 52¢ $13 5h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 14¢ $15 5h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $23 5h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 64¢ $19 5h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 60¢ $18 5h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) SELL Spirit 41¢ $18 5h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 61¢ $37 6h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 45¢ $22 8h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 45¢ $1 8h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 45¢ $22 8h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 49¢ $3 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 39¢ $31 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 30¢ $25 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 22¢ $17 8h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 14¢ $15 9h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $13 9h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 16¢ $17 9h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 29¢ $9 10h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 19¢ $4 10h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 40¢ $8 10h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 2¢ $2 11h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 2¢ $0 11h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $27 12h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 34¢ $10 13h
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 73¢ $511 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-4.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +2.8% -6.9% 54% 46% -4.7%
≤30d 157 +10.4% -0.1% 52% 50% -1.4%
≤90d 621 +1.9% -7.8% 56% 48% -8.2%
all 623 +5.2% -4.9% 57% 48% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.9% 48% -7.8%
10% ← realistic here -14.0% 39% -16.6%
15% -22.3% 30% -24.7%
20% -29.9% 23% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $937.22 · official $937.22 (match) · 3500 history records