Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:10:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

56
0x56f6…cda7
sports · 777 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$989 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$993 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$172
Realized−$993
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses384 / 382
Est. fees paid−$268
Open positions11
Markets (closed)766 / 777
History coverage62d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day26.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 11 History 766 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$104
7 days−$213
14 days+$20
30 days−$458
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No 89¢ 92¢ $34 $36 +$2 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? No 96¢ 97¢ $29 $29 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 89¢ 95¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+7%)
Will Solana reach $90 in June? No 96¢ 97¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+2%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? No 94¢ 99¢ $13 $13 +$1 (+5%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 94¢ 94¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+0%)
Will XRP reach $1.80 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? No 89¢ 96¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+7%)
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? No 94¢ 93¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No 86¢ 87¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $5 +$6 +122%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $3 +$2 +70%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $51 +$37 +73%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $5 +$6 +122%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
ITF Zagreb: Gina Marie Dittmann vs Ipek Oz Jun 11 $50 −$50 -100%
Daniel vs. Nava: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Daniel vs. Nava: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 11 $8 +$6 +82%
ITF Guimaraes: Angelina Voloshchuk vs Aliona Falei Jun 11 $17 −$17 -100%
ITF Madrid: Briyana Ivanova vs Paula Cembranos Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Cuenin vs Baroni Jun 11 $50 +$12 +24%
Cuenin vs. Baroni: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $42 +$5 +12%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 11 $1 +$3 +250%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $3 +$3 +96%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $35 −$10 -30%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 11 $2 +$4 +212%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $24 −$12 -52%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $35 −$3 -8%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $13 −$8 -61%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5) Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $8 +$3 +34%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $9 +$11 +134%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5) Jun 11 $3 +$5 +186%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 11 $6 +$5 +79%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $8 +$20 +232%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 11 $3 +$4 +146%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $4 +$4 +127%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $6 +$5 +92%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $3 +$4 +122%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $25 −$25 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5) Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $6 $0 -0%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $25 +$48 +188%
ITF Nice: Manon Favier vs Julia Stusek Jun 10 $25 +$7 +27%
ITF Zagreb: Lea Boskovic vs Erika Andreeva Jun 10 $22 +$7 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 64% −$411
crypto 31% −$517
other 4% −$68
finance 1% −$16
world 0% +$21
tech 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June? BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? BUY No 94¢ $5 2h
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June? BUY No 98¢ $10 4h
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June? BUY No 98¢ $10 4h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 43¢ $9 4h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 45¢ $41 4h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $3 17h
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5) BUY Atlanta Dream 50¢ $3 18h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 59¢ $3 20h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 45¢ $5 20h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Federico Coria 57¢ $51 20h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 19¢ $2 21h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 45¢ $5 24h
ITF Zagreb: Gina Marie Dittmann vs Ipek Oz BUY Ipek Oz 67¢ $50 27h
Daniel vs. Nava: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 59¢ $4 27h
ITF Guimaraes: Angelina Voloshchuk vs Aliona Falei BUY Angelina Voloshchuk 13¢ $8 27h
ITF Guimaraes: Angelina Voloshchuk vs Aliona Falei BUY Angelina Voloshchuk 13¢ $1 27h
Daniel vs. Nava: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 55¢ $8 27h
ITF Guimaraes: Angelina Voloshchuk vs Aliona Falei BUY Angelina Voloshchuk 13¢ $1 27h
ITF Guimaraes: Angelina Voloshchuk vs Aliona Falei BUY Angelina Voloshchuk 13¢ $1 27h
ITF Guimaraes: Angelina Voloshchuk vs Aliona Falei BUY Angelina Voloshchuk 13¢ $2 27h
ITF Guimaraes: Angelina Voloshchuk vs Aliona Falei BUY Angelina Voloshchuk 13¢ $3 27h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 15¢ $50 28h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 15¢ $1 28h
ITF Madrid: Briyana Ivanova vs Paula Cembranos BUY Paula Cembranos 3¢ $0 28h
ITF Madrid: Briyana Ivanova vs Paula Cembranos BUY Paula Cembranos 43¢ $4 28h
ITF Madrid: Briyana Ivanova vs Paula Cembranos BUY Paula Cembranos 43¢ $4 28h
Set 1 Winner: Cuenin vs Baroni BUY Cuenin 81¢ $50 30h
Cuenin vs. Baroni: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 89¢ $42 30h
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 192 +2.8% -7.0% 47% 43% -15.2%
≤30d 751 +1.7% -8.0% 51% 44% -13.6%
≤90d 766 +1.5% -8.2% 50% 44% -14.7%
all 766 +1.5% -8.2% 50% 44% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 44% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 38% -22.9%
15% -25.0% 32% -30.3%
20% -32.3% 29% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $172.50 · official $172.50 (match) · 2430 history records