trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 34¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+23%) |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Yes | 34¢ | 34¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 47¢ | 44¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 29¢ | $1 | 59m |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 34¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 28¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | SELL Yes | 100¢ | $5 | 1h |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY Yes | 47¢ | $1 | 4h |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY Yes | 94¢ | $5 | 4h |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +5.7% | -4.4% | 100% | 0% | -4.4% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +5.7% | -4.4% | 100% | 0% | -4.4% |
| ≤90d | 1 | +5.7% | -4.4% | 100% | 0% | -4.4% |
| all | 1 | +5.7% | -4.4% | 100% | 0% | -4.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.4% | 0% | -4.4% |
| 10% | -13.5% | 0% | -13.5% |
| 15% | -21.9% | 0% | -21.9% |
| 20% | -29.5% | 0% | -29.5% |