trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +3.6% | -6.3% | 38% | 12% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -7.0% | -15.9% | 27% | 9% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -7.0% | -15.9% | 27% | 9% | -9.9% |
| all | 27 | -7.2% | -16.0% | 52% | 4% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.0% | 4% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -24.1% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -31.4% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -38.1% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 20 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | Jun 20 | $29 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +20% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | +10% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 14 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $80 | −$1 | -2% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | -6% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Jun 08 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 26 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 260–274 times May 30–June 6? | Jun 07 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Solana dip to $110 in May? | May 22 | $4 | −$1 | -37% |
| Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 16–23? | May 21 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? | May 20 | $12 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will the next Pope be from North America? | May 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Angelo Scola be the next pope? | Apr 19 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76000 and $78000 on Apr 18? | Apr 19 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%? | Apr 17 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 09 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the Giants draft Abdul Carter? | Apr 07 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Apr 07 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 06 | $4 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | Mar 29 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ontario resume electricity surcharge to the U.S. by next Friday? | Mar 20 | $12 | $0 | +2% |