trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -26.7% | -33.7% | 44% | 33% | +17.8% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -26.7% | -33.7% | 44% | 33% | +17.8% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -26.7% | -33.7% | 44% | 33% | +17.8% |
| all | 9 | -26.7% | -33.7% | 44% | 33% | +17.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -33.7% | 33% | +17.8% |
| 10% | -40.0% | 22% | +6.5% |
| 15% | -45.8% | 22% | -3.8% |
| 20% | -51.1% | 11% | -13.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $221 | $220 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $105 | $101 | −$4 (-4%) |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $70 | $68 | −$2 (-3%) |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $65 | $62 | −$3 (-4%) |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $55 | $49 | −$6 (-11%) |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $30 | $22 | −$8 (-26%) |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 16¢ | $25 | $22 | −$3 (-14%) |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $15 | $7 | −$9 (-57%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | Jun 17 | $13 | +$5 | +39% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee | Jun 17 | $100 | +$203 | +202% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 17 | $73 | −$70 | -95% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on | Jun 17 | $169 | +$20 | +12% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $8 | +$1 | +6% |