Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T21:17:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
57 0x5743…edbd crypto 121 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (64 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$123 (+6%) realized +$123 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR69%break-even
Win rate69%83W / 38L
Drawdown79%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day64.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$158
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (64 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)-1.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 121 +8.4% -1.9% 69% 69% -2.7%
≤30d 121 +8.4% -1.9% 69% 69% -2.7%
≤90d 121 +8.4% -1.9% 69% 69% -2.7%
all 121 +8.4% -1.9% 69% 69% -2.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover64.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.9% 69% -2.7%
10% ← realistic here -11.3% 66% -12.0%
15% -19.9% 50% -20.5%
20% -27.7% 34% -28.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +8% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +8% · $-wt +8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late +12% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$18 · ×0.56 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.23 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$123
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses83 / 38
Open positions0
Markets (closed)121 / 121
History coverage3d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day64.0
Drawdown79%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 121 Trades
no open positions (37 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 20 $37 −$36 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 20 $40 +$23 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 20 $40 +$38 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 20 $40 +$26 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 20 $40 +$25 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 20 $29 −$27 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 20 $40 +$40 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 20 $29 +$23 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 20 $40 −$39 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 20 $28 +$21 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 20 $39 −$37 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 20 $39 −$39 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 20 $40 +$30 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 20 $39 +$10 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 20 $29 +$35 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 20 $35 −$33 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 20 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 20 $35 +$44 +128%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 20 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 20 $73 −$72 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 20 $40 +$27 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 20 $38 −$37 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 20 $41 +$27 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 20 $38 +$20 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 20 $37 +$20 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 20 $19 +$9 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 20 $37 +$25 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 20 $36 −$35 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 20 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 20 $38 +$20 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $38 +$20 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 20 $39 +$9 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 20 $37 −$36 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 20 $41 +$33 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $21 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $25 +$9 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 19 $23 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 19 $25 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 19 $24 +$11 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 19 $22 +$15 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 19 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 19 $23 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 19 $22 +$9 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 19 $17 +$17 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 19 $24 +$10 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 19 $24 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 19 $23 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 19 $23 +$11 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 19 $24 −$24 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 19 $23 +$5 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $37 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $13 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $6 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $11 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $9 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $40 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $29 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $18 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $6 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $9 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $40 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $28 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $40 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $28 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $39 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 265 history records