Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T17:23:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
57 0x5749…8b35 crypto 223 markets active 2d ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (71 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$4 (-0%) realized −$4 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate96%213W / 10L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$33per market
Trades / day71.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (71 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 223 +4.4% -5.5% 96% 35% -10.1%
≤30d 223 +4.4% -5.5% 96% 35% -10.1%
≤90d 223 +4.4% -5.5% 96% 35% -10.1%
all 223 +4.4% -5.5% 96% 35% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover71.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.5% 35% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -14.6% 4% -18.7%
15% -22.8% 0% -26.6%
20% -30.4% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
58% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$79 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses213 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)223 / 223
History coverage4d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day71.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 223 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$11 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $49 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $23 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 16 $50 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$16 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $19 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $13 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $37 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $23 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $150 +$35 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $175 −$175 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $94 +$17 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $201 −$201 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $176 +$29 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $174 −$174 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $29 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $151 +$27 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $201 +$32 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $27 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $201 +$34 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $54 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $131 +$17 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $103 +$17 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $12 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $32 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $46 +$11 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $61 +$8 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $50 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $13 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $28 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $49 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $23 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $50 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $32 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $18 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $42 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $50 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $19 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $50 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $50 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $50 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $13 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $18 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $24 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 544 history records