Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:04:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
57 0x5754…6c10 crypto 1705 markets active 0h ago coverage 24d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 24d only
✗ bot/MM pace (72 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$5 (-0%) realized −$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate93%1593W / 112L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day72.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$6
14 days+$3
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (72 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 574 +0.8% -8.8% 97% 2% -8.6%
≤30d 1705 -0.3% -9.8% 93% 12% -9.5%
≤90d 1705 -0.3% -9.8% 93% 12% -9.5%
all 1705 -0.3% -9.8% 93% 12% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover72.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 12% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 5% -18.2%
15% -26.3% 3% -26.1%
20% -33.5% 1% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
85% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses1593 / 112
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1705 / 1705
History coverage24d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day72.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1705 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -48%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.05 · official $2.05 (match) · 3500 history records