Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:54:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x5758…e2d8
crypto · 576 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$8,324 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,326 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$82
Realized−$8,326
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses302 / 273
Whale WR (big bets)49%
Est. fees paid−$95
Open positions1
Markets (closed)575 / 576
History coverage72d
Avg bet$144
Trades / day24.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 1 History 575 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,090
7 days−$4,111
14 days−$7,512
30 days−$7,486
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 50¢ 52¢ $80 $82 +$2 (+3%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $83 −$51 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $343 −$260 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $814 −$800 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $610 −$375 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $517 +$448 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $350 −$319 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $517 +$458 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $347 +$85 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $699 −$174 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $354 +$446 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $856 −$500 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $348 +$154 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $862 −$119 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $348 +$171 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $694 +$131 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $346 +$47 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $347 +$120 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $924 −$627 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $340 −$264 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $358 +$159 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $409 +$166 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $257 +$154 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $307 −$284 -92%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $3,354 −$91 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $397 −$364 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $613 +$259 +42%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $3,407 −$1,576 -46%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 10 $522 −$85 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $406 +$100 +25%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $2,044 +$1,381 +68%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $1,799 −$1,148 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 09 $102 +$37 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 09 $15 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $15 −$9 -60%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 09 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 09 $9 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $21 −$14 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 09 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 59% −$7,047
other 31% −$774
sports 10% −$473
politics 0% +$8
world 0% −$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $83 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $32 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $83 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $84 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $343 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $788 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $26 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $108 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $348 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $127 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $263 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $965 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $408 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $109 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $31 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $350 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $975 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $517 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $432 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $347 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $435 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $345 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $90 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $354 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $800 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $354 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $508 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $348 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $501 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 -29.3% -36.1% 34% 34% -23.2%
≤30d 238 -5.2% -14.2% 53% 41% -21.2%
≤90d 575 -10.5% -19.0% 53% 34% -18.7%
all 575 -10.5% -19.0% 53% 34% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.0% 34% -18.7%
10% ← realistic here -26.8% 21% -26.4%
15% -33.9% 14% -33.6%
20% -40.4% 7% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $82.40 · official $84.00 · 1923 history records