Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:34:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x577f…5d34
crypto · 124 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$23 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$32
Realized+$21
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses45 / 73
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)118 / 124
History coverage5d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day88.6
Drawdown99%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 118 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$34
7 days+$21
14 days+$21
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 11¢ 55¢ $2 $10 +$8 (+394%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 12? No 64¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$2 (+56%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? No 66¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+51%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? No 70¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+43%)
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Josh Hokit 79¢ 78¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 47¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? No 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$19 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$51 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$18 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$57 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $146 +$124 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$55 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$46 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$17 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$20 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$16 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$58 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$29 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$40 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$96 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$76 +660%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$44 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$19 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$21 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$14 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$21 +116%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% +$58
weather 11% −$36
sports 1% +$1
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $11 24m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-24.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 118 -16.5% -24.5% 38% 36% -8.1%
≤30d 118 -16.5% -24.5% 38% 36% -8.1%
≤90d 118 -16.5% -24.5% 38% 36% -8.1%
all 118 -16.5% -24.5% 38% 36% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover88.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.5% 36% -8.1%
10% ← realistic here -31.7% 34% -16.9%
15% -38.3% 31% -24.9%
20% -44.3% 26% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.59 · official $33.19 · 548 history records