trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100? | Yes | 3¢ | 7¢ | $73 | $191 | +$118 (+162%) |
| Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150? | Yes | 23¢ | 16¢ | $114 | $77 | −$37 (-32%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | Down | 64¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 13¢ | 0¢ | $35 | $0 | −$35 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe | Jun 12 | $42 | −$3 | -7% |
| Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe | Jun 12 | $181 | −$27 | -15% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Mar 14 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings? | Mar 14 | $11 | +$23 | +203% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | Feb 22 | $10 | +$3 | +29% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | Feb 22 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -11.0% | -19.5% | 0% | 0% | -21.5% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -11.0% | -19.5% | 0% | 0% | -21.5% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -11.0% | -19.5% | 0% | 0% | -21.5% |
| all | 6 | +1.6% | -8.0% | 33% | 33% | -23.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.0% | 33% | -23.2% |
| 10% | -16.8% | 33% | -30.6% |
| 15% | -24.9% | 17% | -37.3% |
| 20% | -32.2% | 17% | -43.4% |