Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:37:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x578a…e324
sports · 173 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$29 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$55 · open −$32
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$347
Realized+$55
Unrealized−$32
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses37 / 88
Est. fees paid−$27
Open positions48
Markets (closed)125 / 173
History coverage21d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day8.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 48 History 125 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$176
7 days+$212
14 days+$267
30 days+$55
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Rainbow Six Siege: Imperial Esports vs Team Liquid (BO1) - South America League Stage 1 Group Stage Imperial Esports 11¢ 10¢ $33 $32 −$2 (-5%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? Yes 6¢ 7¢ $24 $28 +$4 (+19%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) MOUZ 37¢ 50¢ $18 $24 +$6 (+35%)
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Eintracht Spandau 31¢ 30¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-2%)
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims) Allan Nascimento 62¢ 64¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) LYON 35¢ 34¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-3%)
Game Handicap: RED (-2.5) vs LOS (+2.5) RED Canids 20¢ 17¢ $14 $12 −$2 (-15%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner LYON 51¢ 50¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-2%)
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) Max Holloway 70¢ 69¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group B 4ikibamboni 23¢ 22¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 22¢ 18¢ $12 $10 −$2 (-16%)
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? Yes 23¢ 22¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+2.5) Galions 34¢ 36¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+4%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5) Natus Vincere 38¢ 38¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5) Eintracht Spandau 35¢ 34¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-3%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? Yes 57¢ 60¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+4%)
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? Yes 6¢ 10¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+56%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-3%)
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 16¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+11%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Over 27¢ 26¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin Alba Berlin 22¢ 22¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Robert MacIntyre finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 38¢ 40¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+7%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-12%)
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 14 $15 +$25 +165%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Dut Jun 13 $7 +$58 +786%
Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - South A Jun 13 $33 +$106 +325%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $18 +$26 +140%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $23 +$46 +197%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $6 +$26 +442%
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) Jun 13 $11 −$11 -98%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $11 +$57 +510%
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5) Jun 13 $17 −$17 -98%
Rainbow Six Siege: LOUD vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO1) - South America Lea Jun 13 $12 −$12 -98%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Jun 13 $21 −$21 -99%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5) Jun 13 $13 −$13 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $18 −$18 -98%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $9 −$9 -98%
Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs G2 NORD (+2.5) Jun 13 $12 −$12 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $13 −$13 -98%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 12 $13 −$13 -97%
ITF Los Angeles: Gus Grumet vs Tristan Stringer Jun 11 $3 +$5 +194%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Cilic Jun 11 $21 +$20 +97%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Belinda Bencic Jun 10 $350 −$12 -3%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10 $5 +$2 +40%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Dalila Spiteri vs Laura Svatikova Jun 10 $6 +$26 +442%
ITF Tokyo: Colin Sinclair vs Jumpei Yamasaki Jun 10 $23 +$37 +158%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 09 $7 −$7 -98%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $8 −$7 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Blanchet vs Tarvet Jun 08 $4 −$4 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Maddison Inglis vs Alycia Parks Jun 07 $5 +$10 +197%
Set 1 Winner: Damm vs Ficovich Jun 07 $1 $0 +34%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jurij Rodionov Jun 07 $10 +$8 +79%
ITF Osijek: Katerina Tsygourova vs Ziva Falkner Jun 06 $9 −$9 -98%
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcan Jun 06 $8 −$8 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Kamilla Rakhi Jun 06 $4 −$4 -97%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5 Jun 05 $5 +$15 +307%
Chwalinska vs. Andreeva: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Timo Legout Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Makarska: Simona Waltert vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia Jun 04 $11 +$14 +129%
Centurion 2: Robin Bertrand vs Giles Hussey Jun 04 $12 +$7 +60%
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Andres Martin Jun 04 $3 −$3 -98%
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade Jun 03 $8 +$16 +206%
Foggia: Laura Mair vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 03 $1 −$1 -97%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 03 $4 +$24 +596%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% +$87
other 10% −$64
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5) BUY Eintracht Spandau 35¢ $9 6m
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin BUY Alba Berlin 22¢ $6 1h
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? BUY Yes 24¢ $4 1h
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $3 1h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 1h
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? BUY Yes 23¢ $10 1h
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 20¢ $7 1h
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? BUY Yes 8¢ $5 1h
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 18¢ $3 1h
Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+2.5) BUY Galions 34¢ $9 2h
Game Handicap: RED (-2.5) vs LOS (+2.5) BUY RED Canids 20¢ $14 2h
Rainbow Six Siege: Imperial Esports vs Team Liquid (BO1) - South Ameri BUY Imperial Esports 11¢ $34 2h
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group BUY 4ikibamboni 23¢ $11 2h
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 31¢ $21 2h
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY LYON 51¢ $12 2h
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) BUY LYON 35¢ $13 2h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5) BUY Natus Vincere 38¢ $9 2h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 27¢ $6 2h
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY Eintracht Spandau 22¢ $12 2h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) BUY MOUZ 37¢ $18 2h
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) BUY Cloud9 16¢ $11 19h
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Carolina Royal Ravens 11¢ $7 19h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 29¢ $17 19h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 23¢ $11 20h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Connecticut Sun 22¢ $6 21h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $18 23h
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5) BUY Team Heretics Academy 36¢ $17 23h
Rainbow Six Siege: LOUD vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO1) - South America Lea BUY LOUD 36¢ $12 24h
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Toronto KOI 64¢ $21 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)+8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +45.4% +31.6% 37% 37% +16.2%
≤30d 125 +19.5% +8.1% 30% 30% -5.5%
≤90d 125 +19.5% +8.1% 30% 30% -5.5%
all 125 +19.5% +8.1% 30% 30% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +8.1% 30% -5.5%
10% -2.2% 30% -14.5%
15% -11.7% 29% -22.8%
20% -20.3% 28% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $347.16 · official $347.51 (match) · 220 history records