Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:59:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
57 0x579d…c2a0 crypto 673 markets active 0h ago coverage 13d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 12d only
✗ bot/MM pace (241 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,489 (-10%) realized −$1,489 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate50%339W / 334L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day240.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$547
7 days−$704
14 days−$828
30 days−$828
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$828
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (241 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 390 -0.4% -9.9% 50% 47% -16.3%
≤30d 673 -3.5% -12.7% 50% 48% -14.6%
≤90d 673 -3.5% -12.7% 50% 48% -14.6%
all 673 -3.5% -12.7% 50% 48% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover240.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 48% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 46% -22.8%
15% -28.7% 43% -30.3%
20% -35.7% 38% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$18 vs −$20 · ×0.87 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,489
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses339 / 334
Open positions0
Markets (closed)673 / 673
History coverage13d ⚠
Avg bet$22
Trades / day240.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 673 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$7 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$20 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $12 −$5 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$16 +800%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$16 +800%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$16 +800%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$6 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$13 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $12 +$12 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$18 +176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$8 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$17 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$18 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$7 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$6 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +158%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $27 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $16 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $6 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $7 43m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records