Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:17:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x57b2…9da2
sports · 633 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$3,163 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,966 · open +$196
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,073
Realized+$2,966
Unrealized+$196
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses286 / 305
Est. fees paid−$419
Open positions42
Markets (closed)591 / 633
History coverage16d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day61.2
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 42 History 591 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,147
7 days+$175
14 days+$3,078
30 days+$2,966
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Nemiga Gaming 36¢ 100¢ $186 $508 +$322 (+173%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 43¢ 98¢ $220 $504 +$284 (+129%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner G2 NORD 80¢ 86¢ $405 $433 +$28 (+7%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 87¢ 86¢ $440 $432 −$8 (-2%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Karmine Corp Blue 79¢ 78¢ $400 $392 −$8 (-2%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 62¢ 68¢ $315 $348 +$33 (+10%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 62¢ 68¢ $315 $348 +$33 (+10%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Eintracht Spandau 68¢ 66¢ $345 $332 −$13 (-4%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Eintracht Spandau 68¢ 63¢ $345 $320 −$25 (-7%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Paper Rex 55¢ 57¢ $275 $287 +$12 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 47¢ 53¢ $240 $271 +$31 (+13%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Darwin Blanch 47¢ 44¢ $240 $227 −$13 (-5%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Anubis Gaming 24¢ 37¢ $126 $193 +$67 (+53%)
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro Camilla Gennaro 35¢ 75¢ $84 $179 +$96 (+114%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anubis Gaming 24¢ 34¢ $126 $179 +$52 (+41%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage SPARTA 54¢ 54¢ $165 $163 −$2 (-1%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC - Game 4 Winner ONIC 63¢ 50¢ $192 $153 −$39 (-20%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs Donstu Esports 44¢ 46¢ $143 $150 +$6 (+5%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Anubis Gaming 20¢ 26¢ $97 $128 +$31 (+32%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 23¢ 26¢ $109 $121 +$12 (+11%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 18¢ 18¢ $95 $98 +$3 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B MASONIC 36¢ 40¢ $55 $61 +$5 (+10%)
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Lotte Giants 34¢ 100¢ $18 $54 +$36 (+197%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Titan Esports Club vs One Coin (BO3) - CN League Stage 1 Group Stage One Coin 65¢ 100¢ $33 $51 +$18 (+54%)
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B MASQ 34¢ 32¢ $51 $48 −$3 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Set Handicap: Shevchenko (-1.5) vs Mrva (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 +$3 +172%
Rainbow Six Siege: Leviatán Esports vs Four Angry Men (BO3) - CN Leagu Jun 12 $22 +$30 +135%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Team to Take First Corner Jun 12 $513 −$13 -2%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $80 −$79 -99%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Ame Jun 11 $72 +$30 +42%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $65 +$37 +57%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $66 +$46 +70%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $118 +$57 +48%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $117 +$64 +55%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $353 +$154 +44%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $64 +$38 +60%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $350 +$149 +42%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $324 +$184 +57%
Capitanes de Arecibo vs. Aguada Santeros Jun 11 $155 −$154 -99%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) Jun 11 $163 +$230 +141%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $324 +$184 +57%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $325 +$181 +56%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $39 +$64 +165%
Ilkley (Doubles): Corley/Ngounoue vs Brooks/Rajecki Jun 11 $12 +$18 +152%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marko Maksimovic vs Lorenzo Gagliardo Jun 11 $478 +$34 +7%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality - Game 4 Winner Jun 11 $61 +$41 +67%
Unics Kazan vs. CSKA Moscow Jun 11 $3 +$1 +34%
Set 1 Winner: Cooper vs Kumar Jun 11 $2 +$3 +140%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 +$3 +90%
Set Handicap: Kumar (-1.5) vs Cooper (+1.5) Jun 11 $3 +$4 +124%
ITF Guimaraes: Indianna Spink vs Chelsea Fontenel Jun 11 $2 +$5 +206%
ITF Wuning: Hanna Chang vs Reina Goto Jun 11 $4 +$5 +128%
ITF Nice: Iva Ivanova vs Julia Stusek Jun 11 $192 −$189 -98%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Darya Velikova vs Iva Ivanovic Jun 11 $168 −$165 -98%
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Leonie Rabl Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $92 −$90 -98%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Anastasiya Sobolieva vs Julie Pastikova Jun 11 $101 −$99 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Cuenin vs Baroni Jun 11 $35 −$34 -98%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Niccolo Baroni Jun 11 $81 −$79 -98%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Jakub Filip vs Jan Kumstat Jun 11 $127 −$124 -98%
1st 5 Innings Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 11 $56 −$55 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $38 −$37 -98%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$4 +65%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $53 −$33 -62%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID - Game 1 Jun 11 $14 +$22 +155%
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Jun 11 $30 +$28 +93%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $84 +$17 +20%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $67 +$35 +52%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $62 +$40 +65%
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Jun 11 $56 +$45 +80%
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe P Jun 11 $36 +$67 +187%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $83 +$19 +23%
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $33 +$62 +188%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% +$3,408
other 10% −$249
world 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B BUY MASQ 32¢ $5 14m
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B BUY MASQ 31¢ $5 14m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY Donstu Esports 44¢ $29 18m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Paper Rex 54¢ $112 19m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Paper Rex 55¢ $167 22m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 23¢ $112 1h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Nemiga Gaming 36¢ $142 1h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Nemiga Gaming 38¢ $48 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $204 2h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY Donstu Esports 44¢ $9 2h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY Donstu Esports 46¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY Donstu Esports 45¢ $4 2h
Spread: Partizan (-6.5) BUY Partizan 44¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 18¢ $97 3h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC - Game 1 Winner BUY Geek Fam ID 27¢ $4 3h
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B BUY MASQ 33¢ $0 3h
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B BUY MASQ 33¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B BUY MASQ 32¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B BUY MASQ 35¢ $7 4h
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B BUY MASQ 34¢ $7 4h
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B BUY MASQ 35¢ $18 4h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 47¢ $244 4h
ITF Casablanca: Ekaterina Perelygina vs Emma Lene BUY Ekaterina Perelygina 41¢ $8 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $13 5h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY Lotte Giants 34¢ $13 5h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY Lotte Giants 33¢ $2 5h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY Lotte Giants 33¢ $2 5h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY Lotte Giants 32¢ $2 5h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Karmine Corp Blue 81¢ $41 5h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Karmine Corp Blue 80¢ $163 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 219 -8.9% -17.6% 48% 46% -8.2%
≤30d 591 -0.4% -9.9% 48% 47% +0.3%
≤90d 591 -0.4% -9.9% 48% 47% +0.3%
all 591 -0.4% -9.9% 48% 47% +0.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 47% +0.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 43% -9.3%
15% -26.4% 39% -18.0%
20% -33.6% 36% -26.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,072.58 · official $6,072.69 (match) · 1289 history records