Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x57b2…ba67
crypto · 47 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$15,687 -6675%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15,686 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31
Realized−$15,686
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses112 / 413
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions4
Markets (closed)525 / 47
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day3407.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 525 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15,686
7 days−$15,686
14 days−$15,686
30 days−$15,686
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$1 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +213%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +478%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -586%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +640%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +407%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -298%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8PM ET Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $220 −$220 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$93 +2234%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$11 -354%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - October 6, 6PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$129 +4372%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$35 -2319%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$40 +75860%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$19 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$14 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$30 +2217%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$37 +3746%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -210%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 3PM ET Jun 12 $240 −$240 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $0 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)+104.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 525 +126.1% +104.5% 21% 18% -88.1%
≤30d 525 +126.1% +104.5% 21% 18% -88.1%
≤90d 525 +126.1% +104.5% 21% 18% -88.1%
all 525 +126.1% +104.5% 21% 18% -88.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3407.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +104.5% 18% -88.1%
10% ← realistic here +85.0% 16% -89.3%
15% +67.1% 16% -90.3%
20% +50.7% 15% -91.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.53 · official $22.29 · 3500 history records