Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:24:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x57ba…1cf7
sports · 7 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$87 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$78 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$78
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 6
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions1
Markets (closed)6 / 7
History coverage29d
Avg bet$59
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 1 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$49
14 days−$49
30 days−$78
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+104%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 52¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Under 28¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 28? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$1 -5%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 09 $40 −$39 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $29 −$10 -32%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 28? May 28 $7 −$6 -94%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 16 $306 −$22 -7%
French election called by June 30, 2026? May 14 $1 $0 -31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$80
other 2% −$1
crypto 2% −$6
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $9 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $9 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $10 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 47¢ $10 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 4h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Under 12¢ $10 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 33¢ $20 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Under 52¢ $29 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 47¢ $29 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 28? BUY Yes 3¢ $7 15d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend SELL Invictus Gaming 30¢ $284 27d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend BUY Invictus Gaming 31¢ $306 27d
French election called by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 29d
French election called by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 29d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-51.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -45.8% -51.0% 0% 0% -66.0%
≤30d 6 -46.0% -51.1% 0% 0% -27.5%
≤90d 6 -46.0% -51.1% 0% 0% -27.5%
all 6 -46.0% -51.1% 0% 0% -27.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -51.1% 0% -27.5%
10% -55.8% 0% -34.4%
15% -60.1% 0% -40.7%
20% -64.0% 0% -46.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.13 · official $0.01 (match) · 14 history records