Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T20:28:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
57 0x57c9…f159 crypto 420 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (1090 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL −$121 (-2%) realized −$121 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +67% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +28% what you keep after slip
Net edge+28%after slip
Net WR64%break-even
Win rate69%288W / 132L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day1090.0pace
Kalshi-fit61%portable
Net worth$36now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% −$12
other 13% −$159
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1090 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)+50.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 420 +66.7% +50.9% 69% 64% +1.5%
≤30d 420 +66.7% +50.9% 69% 64% +1.5%
≤90d 420 +66.7% +50.9% 69% 64% +1.5%
all 420 +66.7% +50.9% 69% 64% +1.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1090.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +50.9% 64% +1.5%
10% ← realistic here +36.4% 54% -8.2%
15% +23.2% 41% -17.1%
20% +11.2% 29% -25.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +67% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +56% → late +77% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$9 · ×0.39 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$36
Realized−$121
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses288 / 132
Open positions0
Markets (closed)420 / 420
History coverage1d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day1090.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 420 Trades
no open positions (207 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$6 +12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 27 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$7 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$6 +12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$1 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 27 $55 +$7 +12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 27 $7 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 27 $11 +$2 +15%
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 27 $53 +$6 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$5 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -92%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 27 $11 −$10 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 27 $6 +$1 +16%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 27 $11 +$3 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 27 $101 +$13 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$6 +12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$2 +17%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$3 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 27 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$16 +31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$9 -91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -90%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$7 +14%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$4 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 27 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$1 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$2 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 27 $5 +$2 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 27 $50 +$7 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 27 $9 +$1 +11%
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 27 $13 +$2 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 27 $7 +$1 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 27 $11 −$11 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$1 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $49 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $51 7m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $5 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $11 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $55 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $51 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $0 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $4 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 22m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $11 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $6 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $11 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 31m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $2 38m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $9 38m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $10 38m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $14 38m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 38m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 38m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $14 38m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 38m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 38m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $9 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $35.65 · official $0.00 · 1267 history records