Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x57cd…a0fb
other · 74 markets active 6d ago
0.0score
+$887,249 +41%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$887,249 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$887,249
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses33 / 41
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Est. fees paid−$986
Open positions0
Markets (closed)74 / 74
Avg bet$29,602
Trades / day74.8
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit26%
Chart Positions 0 History 74 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$950
14 days+$950
30 days+$148,602
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09? No 36¢ 0¢ $91,149 $0 −$91,149 (-100%)
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09? No 23¢ 0¢ $32,457 $0 −$32,457 (-100%)
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16? No 72¢ 0¢ $70,197 $0 −$70,197 (-100%)
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24? No 41¢ 0¢ $33,450 $0 −$33,450 (-100%)
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) KT Rolster 46¢ 0¢ $987 $0 −$987 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 68¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs KT Rolster 35¢ 0¢ $554 $0 −$554 (-100%)
Spread: SK Brann (-1.5) SK Brann 39¢ 0¢ $1,069 $0 −$1,069 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14? No 22¢ 0¢ $22,000 $0 −$22,000 (-100%)
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21? No 25¢ 0¢ $141,465 $0 −$141,465 (-100%)
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-05-09? No 49¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13? No 74¢ 0¢ $3,465 $0 −$3,465 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 18¢ 0¢ $3,780 $0 −$3,780 (-100%)
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17? No 49¢ 0¢ $30,971 $0 −$30,971 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Kiwoom DRX 27¢ 0¢ $2,700 $0 −$2,700 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? No 37¢ 0¢ $17,620 $0 −$17,620 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Karmine Corp 18¢ 0¢ $172 $0 −$172 (-100%)
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24? No 72¢ 0¢ $8,544 $0 −$8,544 (-100%)
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24? No 26¢ 0¢ $3,420 $0 −$3,420 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? No 48¢ 0¢ $53,006 $0 −$53,006 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 16¢ 0¢ $1,842 $0 −$1,842 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09? No 46¢ 0¢ $460 $0 −$460 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $660 +$950 +144%
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $1,314 +$1,120 +85%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $115,778 +$229,156 +198%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $4,166 +$9,272 +223%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $3,420 −$3,420 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $64,315 −$52,998 -82%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $8,544 −$8,544 -100%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $33,450 −$33,450 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? May 24 $1,919 +$1,570 +82%
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) May 18 $987 −$987 -100%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $3,326 +$6,457 +194%
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $19,116 +$19,116 +100%
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $30,971 −$30,971 -100%
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $712 +$1,114 +156%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $139,613 +$157,436 +113%
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $70,197 −$70,197 -100%
Spread: SK Brann (-1.5) May 16 $1,069 −$1,069 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? May 16 $132,925 +$84,985 +64%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner May 15 $2,058 +$5,565 +270%
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) May 15 $8,442 +$6,907 +82%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14? May 14 $22,000 −$22,000 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 14 $2,700 −$2,700 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21? May 13 $141,467 −$141,465 -100%
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $3,465 −$3,465 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 13 $3,780 −$3,780 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 13 $1,842 −$1,842 -100%
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11? May 12 $87,867 +$156,209 +178%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $17,620 −$17,620 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $460 −$460 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $91,150 −$91,149 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $38,374 +$42,209 +110%
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $32,457 −$32,457 -100%
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $61 −$61 -100%
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-08? May 09 $392 +$302 +77%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season May 08 $172 −$172 -100%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07? May 08 $176,200 +$176,200 +100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 07 $4,950 +$10,049 +203%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner May 07 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? May 07 $15,400 +$4,600 +30%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? May 05 $49,104 +$99,695 +203%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $69,936 +$113,096 +162%
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier May 04 $1,609 −$554 -34%
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03? May 04 $52,950 +$36,022 +68%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $16,826 +$9,060 +54%
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $3,100 +$729 +24%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs May 03 $56 −$56 -100%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01? May 03 $3,420 −$3,420 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02? May 03 $24,591 −$24,591 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02? May 03 $24,949 −$24,949 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30? May 03 $73,220 −$73,220 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 98% +$898,582
sports 2% −$11,333
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $45 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $17 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $21 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $35 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $7 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $6 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $14 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $3 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $10 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $21 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $14 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $14 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $3 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $32 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $1 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $8 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $35 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $1 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $1 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $14 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $10 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $1 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $3 5d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 41¢ $342 5d
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-24? BUY No 54¢ $221 17d
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-24? BUY No 54¢ $4 17d
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-24? BUY No 54¢ $1,090 17d
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24? BUY No 26¢ $3,420 18d
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24? BUY No 33¢ $49,500 18d
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24? BUY No 34¢ $50,233 18d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +143.9% +120.7% 100% 100% +120.7%
≤30d 25 +16.4% +5.3% 48% 48% +7.2%
≤90d 74 +4.2% -5.7% 45% 45% +27.3%
all 74 +4.2% -5.7% 45% 45% +27.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.7% 45% +27.3%
10% -14.7% 45% +15.1%
15% ← realistic here -23.0% 42% +4.0%
20% -30.5% 39% -6.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records