Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:59:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x57d9…25cb
sports · 397 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,015 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$881 · open −$135
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$881
Unrealized−$135
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses241 / 152
Est. fees paid−$206
Open positions4
Markets (closed)393 / 397
History coverage19d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day174.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 393 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$11
14 days−$775
30 days−$881
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 29¢ 1¢ $142 $6 −$135 (-95%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Yes 45¢ 76¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+70%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? No 64¢ 82¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+29%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? No 77¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-28%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $7 −$5 -69%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +45%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 +$1 +25%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $3 +$1 +24%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$1 +29%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$2 -50%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $8 +$3 +33%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $9 +$7 +73%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2 $0 +13%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 +$1 +25%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +56%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 $0 +20%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 +$1 +48%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF Zagreb: Gina Marie Dittmann vs Ipek Oz Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Arias/Ingildsen vs Forcano/Vervoort Jun 11 $16 $0 +0%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1 $0 +11%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Cuenin vs. Baroni: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $3 $0 +5%
Set 1 Winner: Cuenin vs Baroni Jun 11 $3 $0 +15%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$1 +48%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) Jun 11 $2 $0 -12%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $1 $0 +44%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $1 $0 +13%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $1 $0 +41%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $9 +$20 +214%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
ITF Nice: Manon Favier vs Julia Stusek Jun 10 $9 +$2 +24%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
ITF Zagreb: Lea Boskovic vs Erika Andreeva Jun 10 $2 +$1 +32%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $3 $0 -15%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $1 $0 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$844
other 1% −$170
finance 0% $0
crypto 0% −$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $4 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $3 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $6 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $6 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $12 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $15 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $14 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $7 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $14 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $4 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $2 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $2 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $2 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $11 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $9 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $18 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 92¢ $3 6h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl SELL Team Vitality 100¢ $2 7h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner SELL Karmine Corp Blue 100¢ $2 7h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Vitality 100¢ $7 7h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 72¢ $1 7h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 68¢ $1 8h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 85¢ $1 8h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 84¢ $2 9h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 84¢ $3 9h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 63¢ $1 9h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 74¢ $2 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 142 -0.9% -10.4% 67% 57% -11.2%
≤30d 393 -1.4% -10.8% 61% 51% -15.6%
≤90d 393 -1.4% -10.8% 61% 51% -15.6%
all 393 -1.4% -10.8% 61% 51% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover174.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 51% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 36% -23.7%
15% -27.2% 22% -31.0%
20% -34.3% 13% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.84 · official $10.84 (match) · 3500 history records