trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 28 | -3.9% | -13.0% | 25% | 21% | -38.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.0% | 21% | -38.7% |
| 10% | -21.3% | 21% | -44.5% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 21% | -49.9% |
| 20% | -35.9% | 18% | -54.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28? | Mar 26 | $100 | +$91 | +92% |
| Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 21-28? | Mar 26 | $200 | +$72 | +36% |
| Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 21-28? | Mar 24 | $93 | −$12 | -13% |
| Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 21-28? | Mar 24 | $300 | −$173 | -58% |
| Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 21-28? | Mar 24 | $101 | −$62 | -62% |
| Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 28 - March 7? | Mar 03 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28? | Feb 25 | $22 | +$66 | +300% |
| Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21? | Feb 21 | $508 | +$3,193 | +628% |
| Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 14-21? | Feb 21 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| Trump abolishes the Federal Income Tax in 2025? | Feb 16 | $180 | −$23 | -12% |
| Will Kanye tweet between 250-299 times February 8-14? | Feb 13 | $6 | $0 | +5% |
| Super Bowl LIX Winner | Feb 10 | $370 | −$64 | -17% |
| Will Elon tweet 625-649 times Jan 31 - Feb 7? | Feb 07 | $245 | +$708 | +290% |
| Will Elon tweet 675-699 times Jan 31 - Feb 7? | Feb 07 | $203 | −$37 | -18% |
| Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 31 - Feb 7? | Feb 07 | $49 | +$98 | +200% |
| Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? | Feb 06 | $208 | −$208 | -100% |
| Will Elon tweet 575-599 times Jan 31 - Feb 7? | Feb 06 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |
| Will Elon tweet 500-524 times Jan 31 - Feb 7? | Feb 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 4? | Feb 05 | $653 | −$653 | -100% |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 11? | Feb 05 | $570 | −$570 | -100% |
| Will Elon tweet 600-624 times Jan 31 - Feb 7? | Feb 05 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Elon tweet 700-724 times Jan 31 - Feb 7? | Feb 05 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Will Elon tweet 725-749 times Jan 31 - Feb 7? | Feb 05 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will POTUS tweet 11-13 times Jan 31 - Feb 7? | Feb 05 | $92 | −$92 | -100% |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first week? | Feb 04 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will the Commanders win the NFC Championship? | Jan 26 | $233 | −$233 | -100% |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days? | Jan 23 | $1,052 | −$820 | -78% |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? | Jan 22 | $4,063 | −$4,056 | -100% |