Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x57e7…84e9
crypto · 834 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$6,776 -91%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,770 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$23
Realized−$6,770
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses408 / 782
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1190 / 834
Avg bet$9
Trades / day249.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 1190 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,975
7 days−$7,047
14 days−$6,770
30 days−$6,770
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Trump out as President before 2027? No 90¢ 90¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-21%)
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-42%)
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-17%)
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-32%)
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-83%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$40 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$25 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$36 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$141
other 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-41.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 922 -52.1% -56.7% 19% 16% -57.6%
≤30d 1190 -35.0% -41.2% 34% 31% -50.6%
≤90d 1190 -35.0% -41.2% 34% 31% -50.6%
all 1190 -35.0% -41.2% 34% 31% -50.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover249.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -41.2% 31% -50.6%
10% ← realistic here -46.9% 24% -55.4%
15% -52.0% 17% -59.7%
20% -56.7% 10% -63.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.47 · official $23.47 (match) · 3500 history records