Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:12:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x57f2…6356
crypto · 133 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4,418 +29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14,698 · open −$40
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$114
Realized−$14,698
Unrealized−$40
Win rate (resolved)10%
Wins / losses55 / 522
Open positions1
Markets (closed)577 / 133
History coverage5d
Avg bet$116
Trades / day712.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 577 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14,670
7 days−$14,698
14 days−$14,698
30 days−$14,698
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 63¢ 46¢ $140 $100 −$40 (-28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $406 $0 −$406 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $153 $0 −$153 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $174 $0 −$174 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$58 +655%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $109 −$109 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $406 −$406 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $153 −$153 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $156 −$156 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $254 −$254 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $208 −$208 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $55 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $89 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $177 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $7 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $15 47m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-75.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 577 -73.3% -75.8% 10% 8% -52.5%
≤30d 577 -73.3% -75.8% 10% 8% -52.5%
≤90d 577 -73.3% -75.8% 10% 8% -52.5%
all 577 -73.3% -75.8% 10% 8% -52.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover712.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -75.8% 8% -52.5%
10% ← realistic here -78.1% 7% -57.1%
15% -80.2% 6% -61.2%
20% -82.2% 5% -65.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $114.34 · official $138.60 · 3500 history records