Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:30:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x57f5…fcbd
crypto · 41 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$15 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses25 / 15
Open positions1
Markets (closed)40 / 41
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day125.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 40 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 65¢ 98¢ $15 $23 +$8 (+52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$12 +160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$14 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$6 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$13 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$8 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $47 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -1.8% -11.1% 62% 50% -7.9%
≤30d 40 -1.8% -11.1% 62% 50% -7.9%
≤90d 40 -1.8% -11.1% 62% 50% -7.9%
all 40 -1.8% -11.1% 62% 50% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover125.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 50% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 35% -16.7%
15% -27.4% 18% -24.7%
20% -34.5% 8% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.81 · official $16.56 · 159 history records