Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:06:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x5800…053d
crypto · 1010 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4,429 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,435 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$4,435
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses421 / 548
Open positions1
Markets (closed)969 / 1010
History coverage7d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day434.5
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 969 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$902
7 days+$4,291
14 days+$4,435
30 days+$4,435
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 53¢ 24¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -9668%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$6,403
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $16 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $16 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $26 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $16 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $15 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $16 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $15 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $15 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $15 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $7 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $16 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $12 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $14 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-21.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 951 -14.2% -22.3% 43% 43% +13.4%
≤30d 969 -12.8% -21.1% 43% 43% +13.9%
≤90d 969 -12.8% -21.1% 43% 43% +13.9%
all 969 -12.8% -21.1% 43% 43% +13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover434.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.1% 43% +13.9%
10% ← realistic here -28.7% 42% +3.0%
15% -35.6% 40% -6.9%
20% -41.9% 37% -16.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.62 · official $11.79 · 3500 history records