Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:34:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x580d…cfb5
crypto · 1340 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$30 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$30 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses831 / 507
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1338 / 1340
History coverage3d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day947.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1338 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$30
14 days+$30
30 days+$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 0¢ 38¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 56¢ 26¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-54%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -17%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -37%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -34%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -42%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $3 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1338 -0.5% -10.0% 62% 54% -8.8%
≤30d 1338 -0.5% -10.0% 62% 54% -8.8%
≤90d 1338 -0.5% -10.0% 62% 54% -8.8%
all 1338 -0.5% -10.0% 62% 54% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover947.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 54% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 16% -17.5%
15% -26.5% 6% -25.5%
20% -33.7% 3% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.71 · official $6.30 · 3500 history records