trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? | Yes | 22¢ | 18¢ | $4,480 | $3,500 | −$980 (-22%) |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $572 | $247 | −$325 (-57%) |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? | Jun 12 | $2,441 | +$2,788 | +114% |
| Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$52 | +510% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? | Jun 11 | $1,025 | −$646 | -63% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? | Jun 11 | $316 | −$123 | -39% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? | Jun 10 | $143 | −$61 | -43% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? | Jun 10 | $1,487 | +$2,984 | +201% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? | Jun 10 | $120 | −$82 | -69% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 20% | 20% | +68.8% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 20% | 20% | +68.8% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 20% | 20% | +68.8% |
| all | 15 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 20% | 20% | +68.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -20.9% | 20% | +68.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -28.5% | 20% | +52.6% |
| 15% | -35.4% | 20% | +37.9% |
| 20% | -41.7% | 20% | +24.4% |