Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:31:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x581d…2b06
sports · 247 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,184 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,995 · open −$129
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1,362
Realized+$1,995
Unrealized−$129
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses93 / 140
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$607
Open positions17
Markets (closed)233 / 247
Avg bet$204
Trades / day34.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 17 History 233 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$221
7 days−$1,208
14 days−$58
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $714 $675 −$39 (-5%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $130 $128 −$2 (-2%)
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $118 $119 +$1 (+1%)
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $224 $115 −$109 (-49%)
Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 1¢ 3¢ $34 $87 +$53 (+156%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 5¢ 8¢ $51 $87 +$36 (+70%)
Will LGD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $54 $69 +$15 (+28%)
Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $41 $24 −$17 (-42%)
Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $19 $22 +$3 (+15%)
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $12 $9 −$3 (-23%)
Will Nongshim RedForce win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $25 $8 −$17 (-68%)
Will Oh My God win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $28 $6 −$23 (-80%)
Will DRX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $16 $4 −$12 (-75%)
Will EDward Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $19 $4 −$15 (-79%)
Will BRION win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will Team WE win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+117%)
Will Freecs win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-38%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs FlyQuest 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B FENNEL 2¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Movistar KOI 43¢ 0¢ $215 $0 −$215 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Anyones Legend 25¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Karmine Corp 54¢ 0¢ $1,167 $0 −$1,167 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group A CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 37¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Verdant 9¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $37 −$37 -99%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - As Jun 11 $42 +$258 +614%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $45 −$45 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $490 +$510 +104%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1,834 −$44 -2%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $1,182 −$1,167 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $75 −$75 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 06 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $55 −$55 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $61 −$61 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $88 −$88 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $16 −$16 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $62 −$62 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $219 −$215 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $518 +$775 +149%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 01 $47 −$47 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 01 $45 −$45 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $155 +$95 +61%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner May 31 $129 −$78 -60%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 31 $225 +$122 +54%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 30 $45 −$45 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $433 +$701 +162%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $96 −$96 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 30 $143 −$143 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $39 −$39 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 30 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 28 $23 −$23 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $60 +$40 +67%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 27 $222 +$278 +125%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff May 27 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 25 $245 −$10 -4%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $2,210 +$1,326 +60%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qual May 24 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 24 $42 −$42 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 24 $90 −$90 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 24 $633 −$633 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner May 24 $89 +$161 +181%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 21 $82 +$168 +203%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 20 $45 −$45 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Kor May 20 $102 −$102 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Q May 19 $245 −$155 -63%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Quali May 18 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualif May 18 $135 +$115 +85%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 17 $270 −$270 -100%
LoL: Shifters vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Play May 17 $347 −$347 -100%
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoff May 15 $51 +$49 +97%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 14 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 14 $110 −$110 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 13 $155 −$155 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% +$4,459
world 17% −$3,517
economics 15% +$538
politics 6% +$1,189
other 3% −$798
tech 0% +$1
crypto 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $2 11m
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $0 12m
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $1 25m
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $1 34m
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $3 40m
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $10 48m
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $5 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $9 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $2 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $25 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $10 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $1 2h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $3 2h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-1.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -32.3% -38.7% 13% 13% -34.9%
≤30d 50 -29.3% -36.1% 26% 26% -9.9%
≤90d 221 +14.4% +3.5% 41% 37% -5.5%
all 233 +9.4% -1.0% 40% 35% -5.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.0% 35% -5.8%
10% ← realistic here -10.5% 33% -14.8%
15% -19.1% 30% -23.0%
20% -27.0% 30% -30.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,362.14 · official $1,362.14 (match) · 3500 history records