trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +10.7% | +0.2% | 100% | 100% | +0.2% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 40% | 20% | -9.7% |
| all | 11 | +13.1% | +2.3% | 45% | 27% | +32.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +2.3% | 27% | +32.5% |
| 10% | -7.5% | 18% | +19.8% |
| 15% | -16.4% | 18% | +8.2% |
| 20% | -24.6% | 18% | -2.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $606 | $612 | +$6 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | Jun 05 | $240 | +$26 | +11% |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | May 23 | $608 | −$20 | -3% |
| Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliame | May 15 | $398 | −$6 | -2% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 02 | $355 | −$5 | -1% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 20 | $149 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 18 | $578 | −$6 | -1% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 14 | $807 | $0 | +0% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 12 | $79 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | Mar 04 | $86 | +$3 | +3% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026? | Feb 10 | $3,850 | +$3,150 | +82% |
| XRP Up or Down on January 24? | Jan 25 | $2,354 | +$1,268 | +54% |