trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -12.6% | -21.0% | 33% | 33% | +20.4% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -12.6% | -21.0% | 33% | 33% | +20.4% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -36.3% | -42.4% | 21% | 17% | -1.4% |
| all | 24 | -36.3% | -42.4% | 21% | 17% | -1.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -42.4% | 17% | -1.4% |
| 10% | -47.9% | 17% | -10.9% |
| 15% | -52.9% | 17% | -19.5% |
| 20% | -57.5% | 8% | -27.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Tatiana Prozorova vs Heather Watson | Jun 24 | $702 | +$298 | +42% |
| Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Jun 24 | $23 | −$3 | -12% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | Jun 24 | $55 | −$38 | -69% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | May 08 | $325 | −$27 | -8% |
| Will Google reach $355 in April? | Apr 29 | $67 | +$33 | +50% |
| Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Div | Apr 29 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29? | Apr 29 | $25 | −$24 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9AM ET | Apr 29 | $39 | +$34 | +88% |
| Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026? | Apr 29 | $3 | −$1 | -25% |
| Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Apr 29 | $77 | −$1 | -1% |
| Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale? | Apr 29 | $53 | −$6 | -10% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8AM ET | Apr 29 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 29 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7AM ET | Apr 29 | $80 | −$32 | -40% |
| BNB Up or Down - April 29, 7AM ET | Apr 29 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6AM ET | Apr 29 | $42 | −$40 | -96% |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Apr 29 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Apr 29 | $32 | −$30 | -95% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5AM ET | Apr 29 | $26 | $0 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5AM ET | Apr 29 | $33 | −$4 | -12% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4AM ET | Apr 29 | $42 | −$5 | -13% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on April 28? | Apr 29 | $75 | −$71 | -95% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1PM ET | Apr 29 | $98 | +$102 | +105% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Apr 28 | $1 | $0 | -11% |