trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -28.2% | -35.0% | 50% | 50% | -84.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -51.8% | -56.4% | 33% | 33% | -98.9% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -46.7% | -51.8% | 40% | 40% | -92.9% |
| all | 5 | -46.7% | -51.8% | 40% | 40% | -92.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -51.8% | 40% | -92.9% |
| 10% | -56.4% | 20% | -93.6% |
| 15% | -60.6% | 20% | -94.2% |
| 20% | -64.5% | 0% | -94.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $110 | $59 | −$51 (-47%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $12 | $13 | +$1 (+12%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-22%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 12¢ | $6 | $6 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 22¢ | 1¢ | $94 | $3 | −$91 (-96%) |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 12¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $2 | −$8 (-85%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | Jun 12 | $16 | −$15 | -94% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $2 | +$1 | +44% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 02 | $1,582 | −$1,566 | -99% |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? | Apr 18 | $100 | +$22 | +22% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 15 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |