trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -3.0% | -12.3% | 40% | 20% | -7.1% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 50% | 17% | -5.9% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 50% | 17% | -5.9% |
| all | 8 | -11.2% | -19.7% | 50% | 25% | -12.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.7% | 25% | -12.6% |
| 10% | -27.4% | 0% | -21.0% |
| 15% | -34.4% | 0% | -28.6% |
| 20% | -40.8% | 0% | -35.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $90 | −$10 (-10%) |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $125 | $6 | −$119 (-95%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me | Jun 24 | $105 | −$29 | -28% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $197 | −$12 | -6% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $427 | +$25 | +6% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $202 | −$8 | -4% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $354 | +$58 | +16% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Jun 12 | $326 | +$29 | +9% |
| Thunder vs. Pacers | Jun 19 | $149 | −$149 | -100% |
| US military action against Iran by Friday? | Jun 19 | $128 | +$21 | +16% |