Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:22:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
58 0x584d…8989 crypto 1650 markets active 3d ago coverage 13d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (187 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL −$120 (-4%) realized −$120 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +22% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -6% what you keep after slip
Net edge-6%after slip
Net WR26%break-even
Win rate34%428W / 820L
Drawdown33%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day186.6pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit77%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$147
14 days+$307
30 days+$300
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 67% +$332
other 21% −$20
weather 4% $0
sports 4% −$5
finance 2% −$7
politics 1% −$1
tech 1% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (187 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)+10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 791 +13.8% +3.0% 23% 23% +4.4%
≤30d 1248 +22.3% +10.6% 34% 26% +2.8%
≤90d 1248 +22.3% +10.6% 34% 26% +2.8%
all 1248 +22.3% +10.6% 34% 26% +2.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover186.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.6% 26% +2.8%
10% ← realistic here +0.1% 26% -7.1%
15% -9.6% 26% -16.0%
20% -18.5% 25% -24.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +14% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
25% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +22% · $-wt +14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +19% → late +26% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$1 · ×2.51 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.31 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$120
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses428 / 820
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1248 / 1650
History coverage13d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day186.6
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit77%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1248 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$3 +222%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$2 +195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +41%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +375%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +270%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$10 +367%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +354%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +375%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +245%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3106 history records