trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +7.0% | -3.2% | 50% | 50% | -19.5% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 67% | 33% | -20.5% |
| all | 15 | +1.3% | -8.3% | 87% | 13% | -18.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.3% | 13% | -18.8% |
| 10% | -17.1% | 13% | -26.6% |
| 15% | -25.1% | 13% | -33.7% |
| 20% | -32.4% | 13% | -40.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $251 | −$247 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $176 | +$200 | +114% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | May 19 | $132 | +$134 | +101% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | May 18 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 60% by March 31? | May 18 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 17 | $181 | −$179 | -99% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | Mar 14 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | Mar 14 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 6? | Mar 14 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o | Mar 14 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23? | Feb 03 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA reach $272 in January? | Feb 03 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be less than $90 on January 10? | Jan 14 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in December? | Jan 09 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $2.80 in December? | Jan 09 | $33 | $0 | +0% |