Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T14:34:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
58 0x586f…72f6 crypto 276 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (296 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$37 (+1%) realized +$37 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR57%break-even
Win rate76%211W / 65L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day296.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (296 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 276 -1.1% -10.5% 76% 57% -9.6%
≤30d 276 -1.1% -10.5% 76% 57% -9.6%
≤90d 276 -1.1% -10.5% 76% 57% -9.6%
all 276 -1.1% -10.5% 76% 57% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover296.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 57% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 29% -18.2%
15% -26.9% 7% -26.1%
20% -34.1% 1% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
24% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$7 · ×0.3 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses211 / 65
Open positions0
Markets (closed)276 / 276
History coverage2d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day296.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 276 Trades
no open positions (26 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$9 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$8 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $13 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $14 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $14 −$12 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$10 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$5 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$4 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$5 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$5 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$9 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$9 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $14 −$10 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$6 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$5 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$9 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$10 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $14 −$9 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$9 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $14 −$9 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $13 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $15 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $14 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $14 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $14 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $12 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $19 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $14 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $20 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $15 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $21 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $15 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $20 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $14 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $20 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $12 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $19 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $14 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $14 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 636 history records