Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x587b…2622
other · 781 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$3,889 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,920 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,920
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses526 / 253
Whale WR (big bets)51%
Est. fees paid−$1,335
Open positions2
Markets (closed)779 / 781
History coverage41d
Avg bet$208
Trades / day83.0
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 2 History 779 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$535
7 days+$436
14 days+$896
30 days+$2,327
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 68¢ 66¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-2%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 7¢ 4¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-48%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Tatjana Maria 29¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Victoria Mboko 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $4,945 −$764 -15%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $9,329 +$311 +3%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $36 −$4 -11%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $1,663 −$113 -7%
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $221 −$7 -3%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $353 −$11 -3%
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? Jun 10 $85 +$3 +3%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 10 $331 −$45 -14%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $645 +$53 +8%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $210 +$42 +20%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 10 $1,483 −$29 -2%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $351 −$21 -6%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $22 +$1 +4%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $243 −$109 -45%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $787 +$57 +7%
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Jun 10 $838 +$85 +10%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $311 +$60 +19%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $407 +$28 +7%
Will Togo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 +$1 +32%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $16 +$2 +12%
Will Benin win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $9 +$2 +18%
Will Montenegro win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $45 −$9 -20%
Will Central African Republic win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $122 −$2 -2%
Will Angola vs. Central African Republic end in a draw? Jun 09 $533 −$2 -0%
Will Angola win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $73 −$1 -1%
Will North Macedonia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $562 −$76 -14%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $237 −$50 -21%
Will India win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $29 +$10 +35%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $56 +$8 +15%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 09 $15 −$1 -4%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 09 $394 −$9 -2%
Will Indonesia vs. Mozambique end in a draw? Jun 09 $277 −$4 -2%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $20 +$1 +7%
Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 08 $196 +$201 +103%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $128 +$266 +209%
Will France vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw? Jun 08 $545 −$6 -1%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $552 −$14 -2%
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $69 −$69 -100%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $149 −$74 -50%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $56 +$3 +5%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $21 +$4 +17%
Will Croatia vs. Slovenia end in a draw? Jun 07 $107 +$65 +60%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $126 +$106 +84%
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $14 +$1 +7%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $416 +$50 +12%
Will Kosovo vs. Andorra end in a draw? Jun 07 $28 +$2 +9%
Will Bermuda win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $75 −$75 -100%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $216 +$4 +2%
Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 06 $524 +$27 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% +$3,836
sports 45% +$219
world 1% −$378
crypto 1% +$243
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 49¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 47¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 46¢ $648 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 48¢ $703 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 42¢ $637 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 43¢ $4 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 43¢ $3 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 45¢ $14 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 45¢ $373 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 45¢ $258 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 45¢ $31 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 45¢ $4 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 45¢ $14 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 45¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 45¢ $7 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 40¢ $301 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 31¢ $225 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 30¢ $10 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 23¢ $414 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 38¢ $38 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 38¢ $46 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 38¢ $37 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 38¢ $38 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 38¢ $197 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 38¢ $80 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 38¢ $41 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 38¢ $80 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 38¢ $38 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 38¢ $38 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 38¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-2.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 +5.0% -5.0% 62% 24% -8.0%
≤30d 460 +6.7% -3.5% 66% 37% -7.6%
≤90d 779 +7.3% -2.9% 68% 37% -7.2%
all 779 +7.3% -2.9% 68% 37% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover83.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.9% 37% -7.2%
10% ← realistic here -12.2% 20% -16.1%
15% -20.7% 11% -24.2%
20% -28.4% 8% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.21 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records