Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:32:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x587c…807e
other · 9 markets active 13h ago
2.0score
−$561 -39%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$200 · open −$373
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$827
Realized−$200
Unrealized−$373
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$159
Trades / day6.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit22%
Chart Positions 8 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$200
7 days−$200
14 days−$200
30 days−$200
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $250 $196 −$54 (-21%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $250 $148 −$102 (-41%)
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $250 $125 −$125 (-50%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $100 $83 −$17 (-17%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $70 −$30 (-30%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $100 $68 −$32 (-32%)
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $50 $38 −$12 (-25%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No 68¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $202 −$200 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 79% −$372
sports 14% −$200
finance 7% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? BUY Yes 10¢ $100 12h
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $103 13h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 68¢ $202 13h
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $51 47h
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $154 47h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $103 47h
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $103 47h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $103 47h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $257 47h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $257 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $826.69 · official $826.69 (match) · 12 history records