Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:13:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x5887…c387
crypto · 46 markets active 2h ago
4.0score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses43 / 2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)45 / 46
History coverage70d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 1 History 45 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $15 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $17 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $12 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $12 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1? Jun 01 $12 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026? Jun 01 $17 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $21 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26? May 26 $18 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22? May 22 $9 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21? May 21 $12 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20? May 20 $10 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 19 $12 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? May 18 $12 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17? May 17 $7 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? May 16 $8 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15? May 15 $9 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14? May 14 $9 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? May 13 $13 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12? May 12 $9 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11? May 11 $11 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9? May 09 $9 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? May 08 $12 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7? May 07 $14 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? May 06 $8 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5? May 05 $13 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? May 05 $11 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3? May 03 $8 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2? May 02 $12 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29? Apr 29 $14 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27? Apr 27 $6 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 26? Apr 26 $12 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 24? Apr 24 $12 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 23? Apr 23 $14 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 22? Apr 23 $12 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? Apr 22 $7 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 19? Apr 20 $8 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 15? Apr 15 $11 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 14? Apr 14 $15 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 13? Apr 14 $17 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? Apr 12 $12 $0 +0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m Apr 10 $6 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 6? Apr 06 $29 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 5? Apr 06 $9 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 4? Apr 04 $29 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 68% +$1
other 31% $0
economics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $15 2d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $17 3d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $12 7d
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $12 9d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1? BUY No 100¢ $12 11d
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026? BUY No 100¢ $17 12d
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $21 14d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26? BUY No 100¢ $18 17d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22? BUY No 100¢ $9 21d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21? BUY No 99¢ $12 22d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20? BUY No 99¢ $10 23d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $12 24d
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $12 25d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17? BUY No 100¢ $7 26d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $8 27d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15? BUY No 100¢ $9 28d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14? BUY No 100¢ $9 29d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $13 30d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12? BUY No 100¢ $9 31d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11? BUY No 99¢ $11 32d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9? BUY No 100¢ $9 33d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $12 35d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7? BUY No 100¢ $14 36d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $8 37d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5? BUY No 99¢ $13 38d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $11 39d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3? BUY No 100¢ $8 40d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2? BUY No 100¢ $12 41d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 19 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 45 +0.2% -9.3% 96% 0% -9.3%
all 45 +0.2% -9.3% 96% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 0% -9.3%
10% -18.0% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.27 · official $10.27 (match) · 92 history records