Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:28:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x5892…4ad2
crypto · 28 markets active 142d ago
0.0score
+$20,321 +27%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20,321 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$20,321
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses19 / 9
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)28 / 28
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2,653
Trades / day3463.0
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 2PM ET Jan 26 $85 −$11 -13%
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jan 26 $166 −$2 -1%
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 2PM ET Jan 26 $135 +$60 +44%
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jan 26 $358 −$106 -29%
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jan 26 $419 −$136 -32%
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 1PM ET Jan 26 $506 −$184 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jan 26 $388 +$208 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 2PM ET Jan 26 $323 +$308 +96%
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 1PM ET Jan 26 $592 +$47 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 1PM ET Jan 26 $1,434 −$449 -31%
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jan 26 $1,419 −$317 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jan 26 $1,899 +$140 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jan 26 $3,429 −$1,307 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2PM ET Jan 26 $5,379 +$1,700 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 1PM ET Jan 26 $5,433 +$5,494 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jan 26 $15,332 +$553 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jan 21 $4,056 +$969 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jan 21 $4,169 −$1,027 -25%
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jan 21 $2,212 +$62 +3%
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jan 21 $1,409 +$614 +44%
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jan 21 $1,005 +$51 +5%
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jan 21 $635 +$55 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jan 21 $4,361 +$954 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jan 21 $12,976 +$920 +7%
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jan 21 $444 +$912 +205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jan 21 $2,994 +$6,084 +203%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jan 21 $2,569 +$4,416 +172%
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jan 21 $155 +$312 +202%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$20,321
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 141d
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 141d
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 2PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $14 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $270 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $31 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $7 141d
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 141d
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 141d
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $19 141d
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $13 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $13 141d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 141d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 141d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 141d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 141d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 141d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $3 141d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $0 141d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 141d
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 141d
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 141d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 141d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $3 141d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+23.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 28 +36.1% +23.1% 68% 43% +15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3463.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +23.1% 43% +15.2%
10% +11.4% 39% +4.2%
15% ← realistic here +0.6% 32% -5.9%
20% -9.3% 25% -15.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records