Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:14:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x5895…9a80
crypto · 1640 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,169 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,169 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,169
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses1456 / 271
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1727 / 1640
History coverage19d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day105.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1727 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,225
7 days−$1,166
14 days−$1,192
30 days−$1,169
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $145 −$145 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $213 −$213 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $6 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 754 -10.7% -19.2% 76% 29% -27.1%
≤30d 1727 -5.0% -14.0% 84% 29% -19.6%
≤90d 1727 -5.0% -14.0% 84% 29% -19.6%
all 1727 -5.0% -14.0% 84% 29% -19.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover105.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 29% -19.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 8% -27.3%
15% -29.8% 1% -34.4%
20% -36.7% 0% -40.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records