trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +18.4% | +7.1% | 100% | 50% | -0.1% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -21.1% | -28.6% | 67% | 33% | -8.3% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -21.1% | -28.6% | 67% | 33% | -8.3% |
| all | 26 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 42% | 15% | -6.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.8% | 15% | -6.8% |
| 10% | -19.4% | 15% | -15.7% |
| 15% | -27.1% | 15% | -23.8% |
| 20% | -34.3% | 12% | -31.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 58¢ | 57¢ | $386 | $380 | −$7 (-2%) |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | No | 82¢ | 82¢ | $300 | $302 | +$2 (+1%) |
| Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $4 | −$2 (-34%) |
| Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $1 | −$2 (-57%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in | Jun 24 | $1,388 | +$17 | +1% |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Jun 19 | $506 | +$180 | +36% |
| Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? | Jun 14 | $174 | −$170 | -98% |
| Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday? | Jul 19 | $80 | −$79 | -100% |
| UEFA Women’s Euro: Sweden vs. England (To Advance) | Jul 17 | $71 | +$68 | +95% |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? | Jul 17 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | Jul 17 | $4 | $0 | -4% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | Jul 17 | $8 | −$4 | -48% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Jul 15 | $72 | −$1 | -1% |
| US recession in 2025? | Jul 15 | $203 | −$3 | -2% |
| Starmer out in 2025? | Jul 15 | $181 | +$6 | +3% |
| Will Rachel Reeves leave Starner’s cabinet by July 15th? | Jul 09 | $8 | $0 | +4% |
| Tom Brady and Sydney Sweeney confirmed relationship before August? | Jul 08 | $12 | −$4 | -37% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 06 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) | Jul 05 | $118 | +$85 | +72% |
| Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison? | Jul 04 | $105 | −$6 | -5% |
| Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison? | Jul 04 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of | Jul 04 | $50 | −$42 | -84% |
| Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks? | Jul 04 | $61 | −$46 | -75% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jul 04 | $99 | −$1 | -1% |
| Iran Nuke in 2025? | Jul 04 | $38 | +$3 | +8% |
| Will Diddy be sentenced to life in prison? | Jul 02 | $60 | +$2 | +4% |
| Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking? | Jul 02 | $50 | +$106 | +212% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Jul 02 | $60 | +$1 | +2% |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends before July? | Jun 22 | $35 | +$2 | +7% |
| US military action against Iran before July? | Jun 21 | $46 | −$10 | -22% |