trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 20 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 19 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 27 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 25 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 22 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 21 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 25 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 23 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? | Aug 23 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 16 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025? | Jun 13 | $0 | $0 | -70% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025? | Jun 11 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025? | May 10 | $330 | −$60 | -18% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 21 | $0 | $0 | -40% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 27 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League? | Feb 08 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Jan 23 | $1 | $0 | -17% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | Jan 02 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League? | Dec 18 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Nov 29 | $99 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025? | Nov 29 | $48 | $0 | -0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 27 | -12.8% | -21.1% | 0% | 0% | -18.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.1% | 0% | -18.9% |
| 10% | -28.7% | 0% | -26.7% |
| 15% | -35.6% | 0% | -33.7% |
| 20% | -41.9% | 0% | -40.2% |