trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | +45.1% | +31.3% | 100% | 75% | +34.5% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +45.1% | +31.3% | 100% | 75% | +34.5% |
| all | 4 | +45.1% | +31.3% | 100% | 75% | +34.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +31.3% | 75% | +34.5% |
| 10% | +18.7% | 75% | +21.6% |
| 15% | +7.3% | 50% | +9.9% |
| 20% | -3.3% | 50% | -0.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | No | 80¢ | 80¢ | $441 | $444 | +$3 (+1%) |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | No | 80¢ | 76¢ | $450 | $431 | −$19 (-4%) |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | No | 80¢ | 76¢ | $450 | $430 | −$20 (-4%) |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | No | 80¢ | 72¢ | $450 | $410 | −$40 (-9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +90% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | Jun 13 | $2 | +$1 | +60% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +27% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +3% |