trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -77.4% | -79.5% | 0% | 0% | -52.2% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -33.3% | -39.7% | 29% | 29% | +16.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -33.3% | -39.7% | 29% | 29% | +16.4% |
| all | 7 | -33.3% | -39.7% | 29% | 29% | +16.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -39.7% | 29% | +16.4% |
| 10% | -45.5% | 29% | +5.3% |
| 15% | -50.7% | 29% | -4.9% |
| 20% | -55.6% | 29% | -14.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $300 | $285 | −$15 (-5%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 2¢ | $121 | $190 | +$69 (+57%) |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $200 | $67 | −$133 (-67%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | Jun 15 | $11 | −$10 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | Jun 15 | $52 | −$50 | -97% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 15 | $210 | −$67 | -32% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | Jun 08 | $747 | +$515 | +69% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | May 24 | $107 | −$43 | -41% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | May 23 | $103 | +$72 | +70% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | May 23 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |