trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 4 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 10 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 90% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.1% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -17.8% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -25.8% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $68 | $68 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March? | Apr 09 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Apr 09 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | Apr 09 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Based FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Apr 09 | $58 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 19 | $18,094 | −$18 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February? | Mar 05 | $55 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February? | Mar 05 | $58 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | Feb 24 | $110 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Jan 20 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novem | Jan 19 | $9 | $0 | +3% |