trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 33% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 43% | 0% | -8.7% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 21% | 0% | -10.2% |
| all | 24 | -5.1% | -14.2% | 29% | 0% | -10.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.2% | 0% | -10.6% |
| 10% | -22.4% | 0% | -19.2% |
| 15% | -29.9% | 0% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -36.8% | 0% | -34.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 56¢ | 60¢ | $0 | $1 | +$0 (+8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 22 | $67 | +$1 | +1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $3 | $0 | -5% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Jun 09 | $41 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 09 | $40 | +$1 | +3% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 08 | $44 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tam | Apr 25 | $50 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | Apr 23 | $56 | −$7 | -12% |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 23 | $237 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026? | Apr 23 | $62 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the | Apr 22 | $57 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | Apr 19 | $66 | −$3 | -5% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 03 | $70 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 02 | $236 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 01 | $287 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? | Mar 31 | $281 | $0 | -0% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 31 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Y | Mar 30 | $32 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in his first 100 days? | May 06 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | Feb 25 | $3 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw? | Jan 07 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |