Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:36:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x58d3…5722
crypto · 52 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$39 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses31 / 20
Open positions1
Markets (closed)51 / 52
History coverage2d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day25.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 51 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$10
14 days+$10
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 52¢ 58¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+12%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$19 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 +1.0% -8.6% 61% 61% -7.6%
≤30d 51 +1.0% -8.6% 61% 61% -7.6%
≤90d 51 +1.0% -8.6% 61% 61% -7.6%
all 51 +1.0% -8.6% 61% 61% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 61% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 61% -16.5%
15% -25.3% 51% -24.6%
20% -32.6% 49% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.25 · official $7.98 · 106 history records