Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:01:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x58f0…c881
crypto · 15 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$2 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses7 / 7
Open positions1
Markets (closed)14 / 15
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day24.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 1 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +338%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$6
other 3% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $13 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 21h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $7 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +11.3% +0.7% 50% 50% +4.2%
≤30d 14 +11.3% +0.7% 50% 50% +4.2%
≤90d 14 +11.3% +0.7% 50% 50% +4.2%
all 14 +11.3% +0.7% 50% 50% +4.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.7% 50% +4.2%
10% ← realistic here -8.9% 43% -5.7%
15% -17.7% 29% -14.8%
20% -25.8% 29% -23.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.05 · official $5.05 (match) · 24 history records