Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:24:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x58f3…381b
sports · 12 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
+$3 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses6 / 5
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)11 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day18.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 58¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+72%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner LOUD 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +67%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 11 $4 +$2 +54%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$2 +33%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 +$4 +118%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $4 +$3 +86%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 58¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $3 16h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 53¢ $2 16h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 48¢ $2 16h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali SELL LOS 100¢ $7 16h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 64¢ $4 17h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY LOUD 41¢ $2 18h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner SELL LOUD 99¢ $6 18h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY LOUD 74¢ $5 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 21¢ $1 20h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 40¢ $3 20h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $7 20h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 19¢ $2 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 45¢ $3 22h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $7 22h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 53¢ $4 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 27¢ $3 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -5.1% -14.1% 55% 55% -6.3%
≤30d 11 -5.1% -14.1% 55% 55% -6.3%
≤90d 11 -5.1% -14.1% 55% 55% -6.3%
all 11 -5.1% -14.1% 55% 55% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.1% 55% -6.3%
10% -22.3% 55% -15.3%
15% -29.8% 45% -23.4%
20% -36.7% 45% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.43 · official $3.43 (match) · 19 history records